Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.233014e-07 1.517511e-06 2.560168e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000014
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.784944e-07 9.889951e-07 2.144247e-06 0.000004 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.805788e-07 6.716774e-07 1.824751e-06 0.000004 0.000009 0.000017 0.000029
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.762048e-08 4.717919e-07 1.581853e-06 0.000004 0.000010 0.000020 0.000037
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.797564e-08 3.171348e-07 1.325595e-06 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000045
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.705513e-08 2.279595e-07 1.171629e-06 0.000004 0.000011 0.000026 0.000053
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.018254e-09 1.633074e-07 1.036395e-06 0.000004 0.000012 0.000029 0.000062
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.255068e-09 1.099820e-07 8.842109e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000031 0.000070
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.701671e-10 8.648174e-08 8.395102e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000081
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.823856e-10 7.505705e-08 8.477877e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000041 0.000096
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.108439e-11 5.660101e-08 7.857815e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000045 0.000108
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.124373e-11 4.106860e-08 7.155539e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000049 0.000120
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.169008e-14 2.777664e-08 6.544524e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000056 0.000139
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.856606e-08 5.994010e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000062 0.000159
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.154016e-08 5.359078e-07 0.000005 0.000022 0.000068 0.000178
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 6.890559e-09 4.774289e-07 0.000005 0.000023 0.000075 0.000199
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.405101e-09 4.015421e-07 0.000005 0.000024 0.000079 0.000216
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.824316e-09 3.575239e-07 0.000005 0.000025 0.000086 0.000238
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 8.941220e-10 3.162438e-07 0.000005 0.000026 0.000092 0.000260
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.278865e-10 2.655650e-07 0.000004 0.000027 0.000097 0.000279
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.761925e-10 2.542580e-07 0.000005 0.000029 0.000106 0.000308
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.255152e-10 2.621997e-07 0.000005 0.000032 0.000118 0.000345
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.932936e-11 2.417811e-07 0.000005 0.000033 0.000126 0.000374